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91.
Three earthquakes that happened over two days in May 1951 caused extensive damage to villages in a small area of eastern El Salvador (Central America). Contemporary hypocentral solutions indicated focal depths, confirmed by re-calculations using available seismic data, of the order of 90 km, suggesting events associated with the subducted Cocos plate. Macroseismic observations strongly indicate that the earthquakes were of very shallow focus and this is supported by wave-form modeling and the appearance of seismograms recorded in Guatemala. A re-evaluation of the location and source characteristics for these events is presented, together with a fault plane solution and additional macroseismic evidence. The implications for seismic hazard and risk assessment in Central America, where shallow earthquakes of moderate magnitude, frequently occurring in clusters, pose the greatest threat to settlements which, like the area affected by these events, are concentrated along the axis of Quaternary volcanoes. 相似文献
92.
Since the late 1970s, the dynamic range and resolution of strong motion digital recorders have leaped from 65 to 135 dB, opening new possibilities for advanced data processing and interpretation. One of these new possibilities is the calculation of permanent displacement of the ground or of structures, associated with faulting or with non-linear response. Proposals on how permanent displacements could be recovered from recorded strong motion have been published since 1976. The analysis in this paper concludes that permanent displacements of the ground and of structures in the near-field can be calculated provided all six components of strong motion (three translations and three rotations) have been recorded, and the records are corrected for transducer rotation, misalignment and cross-axis sensitivity. 相似文献
93.
Evolution of accelerographs, data processing, strong motion arrays and amplitude and spatial resolution in recording strong earthquake motion 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
This paper presents a review of the advances in strong motion recording since the early 1930s, based mostly on the experiences in the United States. A particular emphasis is placed on the amplitude and spatial resolution of recording, which both must be ‘adequate’ to capture the nature of strong earthquake ground motion and response of structures. The first strong motion accelerographs had optical recording system, dynamic range of about 50 dB and useful life longer than 30 years. Digital strong motion accelerographs started to become available in the late 1970s. Their dynamic range has been increasing progressively, and at present is about 135 dB. Most models have had useful life shorter than 5–10 years. One benefit from a high dynamic range is early trigger and anticipated ability to compute permanent displacements. Another benefit is higher sensitivity and hence a possibility to record smaller amplitude motions (aftershocks, smaller local earthquakes and distant large earthquakes), which would augment significantly the strong motion databases. The present trend of upgrading existing and adding new stations with high dynamic range accelerographs has lead to deployment of relatively small number of new stations (the new high dynamic range digital instruments are 2–3 times more expensive than the old analog instruments or new digital instruments with dynamic range of 60 dB or less). Consequently, the spatial resolution of recording, both of ground motion and structural response, has increased only slowly during the past 20 years, by at most a factor of two. A major (and necessary) future increase in the spatial resolution of recording will require orders of magnitude larger funding, for purchase of new instruments, their maintenance, and for data retrieval, processing, management and dissemination. This will become possible only with an order of magnitude cheaper and ‘maintenance-free’ strong motion accelerographs. In view of the rapid growth of computer technology this does not seem to be (and should not be) out of our reach. 相似文献
94.
95.
以东经108°线为界,把中国大陆分为东、西两部,东部取震级M≥6的地震、西部取M≥7的地震为强地震.利用有史以来全部地震资料,针对不同情况和不同时期,系统地研究了相继两次强地震之间的时间间隔,目的在于讨论一次强地震发生之后,下一次强地震何时发生.在所有情况下地震间隔数目都随时间间隔值的增大呈明显的趋势性减小.给出了8种情况下的间隔数目统计和相应的模拟函数,以及间隔值的经验概率和相应的函数模拟概率.由此可估计时间间隔为某个值的概率,也可估计时间间隔处于某个区间的概率.反之,对于给定的概率,可估计时间间隔的值或它所处的区间. 相似文献
96.
97.
自然数可以视为反映世界客观本质的一种重要秩序,即信息,它不因加法处理而失真[1]。强地震在一定的时空范围内重复出现的现象称为有序性。自1716年以来,新疆及其邻区7级以上强震在时间上具有良好的有序性,有些强震在空间上亦表现出一定的有序性。强地震时间间隔值以60、30、41、19和11年占据主导分布,并且相互之间关系密切。根据强震活动的有序性结构可进行预测:该地区未来M≥7强震可能发生在2004年和2015年前后。 相似文献
98.
Gao Shiyu Zhang Lianqiang Tang Tianming and Fu ChanghongInstitute of Geophysics SSB Beijing China 《中国地震研究》1996,(2)
By analyzing seismograms of short period records at the Beijing SeismoJogicaJ Observatory, the present paper investigates the amplitude ratio of seismic phases. The results indicate that the amplitude ratio of Sn/Lg is correlated with the lithosphere structure, the thermal state, and strong earthquake occurrence in the region the seismic rays pass through. The significance of such a correlation in the study on the genesis and prediction of strong earthquakes is discussed. 相似文献
99.
El Ni?o影响热带大气季节内振荡的动力学研究 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
根据El Ni?o期间热带大气状态的异常特征,确定了在简单大气动力模式中描写海温异常的参数化方法。然后利用斜压半地转两层模式从动力学上分析研究了El Ni?o对热带大气低频波的影响。理论分析同有关热带大气季节内振荡的资料分析结果完全一致,El Ni?o事件使热带大气季节内振荡减弱。 相似文献
100.
信息增益在地震趋势估计中的应用 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
从熵中信息增益的定义出发,将地震中的能量和频度作为一个整体考虑,研究了全球1900-1992斫M≥6.0地震的信息增益。结果表明,强震前有信息增益减小的特点。信息增益方法的引入,为利用中小地震进入地震跟踪预报提供了一个新途径。 相似文献